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NBA Coach of the Year on Kalshi
If Will Hardy wins the Pro Basketball Coach of the Year award in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: JJ Redick · JJ Redick | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 18,986 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: J.B. Bickerstaff · J.B. Bickerstaff | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 15,072 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Tuomas Iisalo · Tuomas Iisalo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 14,613 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Joe Mazzulla · Joe Mazzulla | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 12,865 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Darko Rajaković · Darko Rajaković | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 12,553 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Quin Snyder · Quin Snyder | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 11,424 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Charles Lee · Charles Lee | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 11,033 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Micah Nori · Micah Nori | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 10,405 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy · Will Hardy | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,193 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Mitch Johnson · Mitch Johnson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 9,543 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Sean Sweeney · Sean Sweeney | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 7,917 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Mark Daigneault · Mark Daigneault | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 7,881 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Nick Nurse · Nick Nurse | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 6,904 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Ime Udoka · Ime Udoka | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 6,724 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Jordi Fernández · Jordi Fernández | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,888 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Chris Finch · Chris Finch | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 4,327 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Brian Keefe · Brian Keefe | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,161 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Erik Spoelstra · Erik Spoelstra | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,875 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Mike Brown · Mike Brown | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,761 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Rick Carlisle · Rick Carlisle | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,039 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Dusty May · Dusty May | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 2,502 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Steve Kerr · Steve Kerr | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,704 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Tiago Splitter · Tiago Splitter | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,312 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Jordan Ott · Jordan Ott | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 892 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Jamahl Mosley · Jamahl Mosley | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 468 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Taylor Jenkins · Taylor Jenkins | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 391 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Kenny Atkinson · Kenny Atkinson | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 161 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Tyronn Lue · Tyronn Lue | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Doug Christie · Doug Christie | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: David Adelman · David Adelman | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Aug 02, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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