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Pro Basketball Cup Champion on Kalshi
If Washington is the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Philadelphia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 112,908 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Minnesota | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 76,674 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Dallas | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 65,055 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Golden State be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Golden State | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 46,722 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Houston | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 43,146 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Detroit | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 33,474 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miami be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Miami | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 31,420 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · New York | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 26,780 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Memphis be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Memphis | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 24,047 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles L be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Los Angeles L | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 22,248 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Antonio be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · San Antonio | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 21,417 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Portland be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Portland | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 18,335 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Boston be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Boston | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 15,880 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma City be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Oklahoma City | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 7,343 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Cleveland | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,884 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Indiana be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Indiana | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,929 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Utah be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Utah | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,622 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Toronto be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Toronto | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 4,313 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Charlotte be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Charlotte | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,093 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Washington | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,810 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Atlanta | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,089 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denver be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Denver | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,823 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sacramento be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Sacramento | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,178 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · New Orleans | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,176 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Orlando be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Orlando | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,171 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Phoenix be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Phoenix | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,151 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Milwaukee be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Milwaukee | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,100 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Chicago | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 817 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Los Angeles C | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 773 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brooklyn be the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup champion in the 2026-27 season? · Brooklyn | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 31 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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