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NBA Eastern Conference 1 Seed on Kalshi
If Washington is the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Philadelphia | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 102,254 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Boston be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Boston | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 72,780 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Detroit | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 54,737 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Miami be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Miami | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 46,561 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Cleveland | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 45,581 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New York be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · New York | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 35,056 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Toronto be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Toronto | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 32,660 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Washington be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Washington | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 32,262 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Indiana be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Indiana | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 29,800 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Atlanta | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 18,462 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Orlando be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Orlando | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 15,826 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Charlotte be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Charlotte | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 12,876 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Chicago | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 829 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Milwaukee be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Milwaukee | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 750 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Brooklyn be the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Brooklyn | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 347 | Jun 15, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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