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Pro Basketball Highest Win Total on Kalshi
If any Pro Basketball team wins at least 72 games in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
24%
Median YES price across 4 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
48% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $2.66 | 25.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any Pro Basketball team win at least 65 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 65+ wins | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 2,940 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any Pro Basketball team win at least 67 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 67+ wins | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 1,499 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any Pro Basketball team win at least 72 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 72+ wins | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any Pro Basketball team win at least 70 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 70+ wins | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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