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Pro Basketball Next Governor on Kalshi
If Todd Boehly formally holds the position of team governor before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 6 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
16% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.22 | 8.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Kushner to be the next governor of Los Angeles L before Jan 1, 2027 · Josh Kushner | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 1,554 | Jan 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Bob Iger to be the next governor of Los Angeles L before Jan 1, 2027 · Bob Iger | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 1,496 | Jan 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Mark Walter to be the next governor of Los Angeles L before Jan 1, 2027 · Mark Walter | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 233 | Jan 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Any other person (excluding Jeanie Buss) to be the next governor of Los Angeles L before Jan 1, 2027 · Any other person (excluding Jeanie Buss) | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 15 | Jan 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Todd Boehly to be the next governor of Los Angeles L before Jan 1, 2027 · Todd Boehly | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jan 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Linda Rambis to be the next governor of Los Angeles L before Jan 1, 2027 · Linda Rambis | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jan 08, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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