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NBA Highest Scoring Performance in Regular Season on Kalshi
If Victor Wembanyama scores at least 54 points in any game (including overtime) in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander highest-scoring performance: 52+ points · Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 52+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 2,154 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| AJ Dybantsa highest-scoring performance: 40+ points · AJ Dybantsa: 40+ points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 2,054 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Anthony Edwards highest-scoring performance: 50+ points · Anthony Edwards: 50+ points | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 1,400 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Highest scoring performance: 58+ points · 58+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,325 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Cameron Boozer highest-scoring performance: 38+ points · Cameron Boozer: 38+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,324 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Darryn Peterson highest-scoring performance: 42+ points · Darryn Peterson: 42+ points | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 1,197 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Kevin Durant highest-scoring performance: 47+ points · Kevin Durant: 47+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,185 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Devin Booker highest-scoring performance: 48+ points · Devin Booker: 48+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,157 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Jalen Brunson highest-scoring performance: 48+ points · Jalen Brunson: 48+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,114 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Tyrese Maxey highest-scoring performance: 50+ points · Tyrese Maxey: 50+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 934 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Anthony Davis highest-scoring performance: 49+ points · Anthony Davis: 49+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 933 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Cooper Flagg highest-scoring performance: 51+ points · Cooper Flagg: 51+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 900 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo highest-scoring performance: 48+ points · Giannis Antetokounmpo: 48+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 883 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Stephen Curry highest-scoring performance: 50+ points · Stephen Curry: 50+ points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 868 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Highest scoring performance: 55+ points · 55+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 836 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Donovan Mitchell highest-scoring performance: 46+ points · Donovan Mitchell: 46+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 822 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| LeBron James highest-scoring performance: 45+ points · LeBron James: 45+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 819 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Luka Dončić highest-scoring performance: 55+ points · Luka Dončić: 55+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 736 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Nikola Jokić highest-scoring performance: 47+ points · Nikola Jokić: 47+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 701 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Highest scoring performance: 61+ points · 61+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 682 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Jaylen Brown highest-scoring performance: 48+ points · Jaylen Brown: 48+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 680 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Highest scoring performance: 85+ points · 85+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 527 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Kon Knueppel highest-scoring performance: 45+ points · Kon Knueppel: 45+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 527 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Jayson Tatum highest-scoring performance: 50+ points · Jayson Tatum: 50+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 434 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Highest scoring performance: 73+ points · 73+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 373 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Highest scoring performance: 79+ points · 79+ points | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 361 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Highest scoring performance: 67+ points · 67+ points | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 340 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Highest scoring performance: 64+ points · 64+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 213 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Highest scoring performance: 82+ points · 82+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 176 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Highest scoring performance: 70+ points · 70+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 171 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Highest scoring performance: 76+ points · 76+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 169 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Victor Wembanyama highest-scoring performance: 54+ points · Victor Wembanyama: 54+ points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.