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NBA Game Points Leader on Kalshi
If Rui Hachimura records the most points in the Los Angeles C vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
16%
Median YES price across 35 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
33% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $2.91 | 18.0% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura: Points leader · Rui Hachimura | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Max Strus: Points leader · Max Strus | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Keaton Wagler: Points leader · Keaton Wagler | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Kobe Sanders: Points leader · Kobe Sanders | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Kris Dunn: Points leader · Kris Dunn | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points leader · Derrick Jones Jr. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Darius Garland: Points leader · Darius Garland | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Brook Lopez: Points leader · Brook Lopez | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points leader · De'Andre Hunter | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Zach LaVine: Points leader · Zach LaVine | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Keegan Murray: Points leader · Keegan Murray | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points leader · Darius Acuff Jr. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Malik Monk: Points leader · Malik Monk | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points leader · Domantas Sabonis | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points leader · Precious Achiuwa | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points leader · Wendell Carter Jr. | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Tristan da Silva: Points leader · Tristan da Silva | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Jase Richardson: Points leader · Jase Richardson | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Jamal Cain: Points leader · Jamal Cain | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Franz Wagner: Points leader · Franz Wagner | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Desmond Bane: Points leader · Desmond Bane | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Anthony Black: Points leader · Anthony Black | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points leader · VJ Edgecombe | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points leader · Tyrese Maxey | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| LeBron James: Points leader · LeBron James | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Joel Embiid: Points leader · Joel Embiid | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Jaylen Brown: Points leader · Jaylen Brown | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Anfernee Simons: Points leader · Anfernee Simons | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Sam Hauser: Points leader · Sam Hauser | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Payton Pritchard: Points leader · Payton Pritchard | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Paul George: Points leader · Paul George | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Neemias Queta: Points leader · Neemias Queta | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points leader · Mitchell Robinson | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Jayson Tatum: Points leader · Jayson Tatum | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Derrick White: Points leader · Derrick White | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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