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Pro Basketball Best/Worst Regular Season Record on Kalshi
If the Washington Pro Basketball team has the worst regular season record in the league in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 60 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Oklahoma City | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 18,209 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Utah have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Utah | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 15,669 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sacramento have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Sacramento | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 15,548 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Minnesota | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 13,659 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Philadelphia | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 13,153 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will San Antonio have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · San Antonio | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 11,888 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Houston have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Houston | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 9,100 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Brooklyn have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Brooklyn | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 9,022 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New York have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · New York | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 7,922 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Detroit | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 7,872 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Portland have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Portland | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 7,596 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Milwaukee have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Milwaukee | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 7,486 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Boston have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Boston | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 7,394 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Golden State have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Golden State | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 7,195 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles L have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Los Angeles L | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 5,819 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Los Angeles C | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 5,473 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Chicago | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 5,437 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Miami have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Miami | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 4,442 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Memphis have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Memphis | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,252 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Toronto have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Toronto | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 4,159 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Dallas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,728 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Golden State have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Golden State | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,690 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · New Orleans | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 3,112 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Denver have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Denver | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,103 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Phoenix have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Phoenix | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,936 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Miami have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Miami | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,799 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Memphis have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Memphis | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,682 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Washington have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Washington | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,424 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Philadelphia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,597 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Atlanta | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,505 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Indiana have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Indiana | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,442 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Charlotte have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Charlotte | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,441 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Dallas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,288 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Orlando have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Orlando | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,028 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Utah have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Utah | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 936 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Washington have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Washington | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 899 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Cleveland | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 844 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Indiana have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Indiana | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 748 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will San Antonio have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · San Antonio | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 467 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Minnesota | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 243 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 60 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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