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NBA All-Rookie 1st Team on Kalshi
If Zuby Ejiofor is selected to the All-Rookie First Team in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Yaxel Lendeborg · Yaxel Lendeborg | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 296 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Darius Acuff Jr. · Darius Acuff Jr. | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 245 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Aday Mara · Aday Mara | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 179 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Bennett Stirtz · Bennett Stirtz | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 150 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Kingston Flemings · Kingston Flemings | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 148 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Allen Graves · Allen Graves | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 142 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Zuby Ejiofor · Zuby Ejiofor | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Thomas Sorber · Thomas Sorber | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Tarris Reed Jr. · Tarris Reed Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Sergio De Larrea · Sergio De Larrea | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Nate Ament · Nate Ament | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Morez Johnson Jr. · Morez Johnson Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Labaron Philon Jr. · Labaron Philon Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Koa Peat · Koa Peat | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Karim Lopez · Karim Lopez | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Joshua Jefferson · Joshua Jefferson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Ebuka Okorie · Ebuka Okorie | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Dailyn Swain · Dailyn Swain | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Christian Anderson Jr. · Christian Anderson Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Alex Karaban · Alex Karaban | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Hannes Steinbach · Hannes Steinbach | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 138 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Chris Cenac Jr. · Chris Cenac Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 138 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Cameron Carr · Cameron Carr | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 138 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Brayden Burries · Brayden Burries | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 115 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: AJ Dybantsa · AJ Dybantsa | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 58 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Caleb Wilson · Caleb Wilson | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 20 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Mikel Brown Jr. · Mikel Brown Jr. | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 2 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Darryn Peterson · Darryn Peterson | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Keaton Wagler · Keaton Wagler | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Rookie First Team Selection: Cameron Boozer · Cameron Boozer | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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