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NBA Team Total on Kalshi
If Phoenix scores more than 97.5 points in the Los Angeles C vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 228 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 52¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.68 | 53.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia over 110.5 points scored · Philadelphia over 110.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 346 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Portland over 113.5 points scored · Portland over 113.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 239 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| New York over 117.5 points scored · New York over 117.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 188 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 108.5 points scored · Philadelphia over 108.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 174 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Boston over 110.5 points scored · Boston over 110.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 106 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Milwaukee over 100.5 points scored · Milwaukee over 100.5 points | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 97 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Milwaukee over 102.5 points scored · Milwaukee over 102.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 62 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 108.5 points scored · Oklahoma City over 108.5 points | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 55 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Los Angeles C over 111.5 points scored · Los Angeles C over 111.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 38 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 110.5 points scored · Oklahoma City over 110.5 points | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 33 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Portland over 111.5 points scored · Portland over 111.5 points | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 30 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Milwaukee over 104.5 points scored · Milwaukee over 104.5 points | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 28 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 118.5 points scored · Philadelphia over 118.5 points | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 18 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Boston over 108.5 points scored · Boston over 108.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 17 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Boston over 116.5 points scored · Boston over 116.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 15 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| New York over 115.5 points scored · New York over 115.5 points | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 4 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Miami over 119.5 points scored · Miami over 119.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 4 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Milwaukee over 106.5 points scored · Milwaukee over 106.5 points | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 2 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Orlando over 114.5 points scored · Orlando over 114.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 1 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Utah over 109.5 points scored · Utah over 109.5 points | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Sacramento over 107.5 points scored · Sacramento over 107.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 1 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Orlando over 112.5 points scored · Orlando over 112.5 points | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 1 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Utah over 107.5 points scored · Utah over 107.5 points | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 1 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Miami over 117.5 points scored · Miami over 117.5 points | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 114.5 points scored · Oklahoma City over 114.5 points | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma City over 112.5 points scored · Oklahoma City over 112.5 points | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 1 | Nov 13, 04:00 UTC |
| Boston over 106.5 points scored · Boston over 106.5 points | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 1 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Utah over 111.5 points scored · Utah over 111.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 97.5 points scored · Phoenix over 97.5 points | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 133.5 points scored · Phoenix over 133.5 points | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 131.5 points scored · Phoenix over 131.5 points | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 129.5 points scored · Phoenix over 129.5 points | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 127.5 points scored · Phoenix over 127.5 points | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 125.5 points scored · Phoenix over 125.5 points | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 123.5 points scored · Phoenix over 123.5 points | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 121.5 points scored · Phoenix over 121.5 points | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 119.5 points scored · Phoenix over 119.5 points | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 117.5 points scored · Phoenix over 117.5 points | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 115.5 points scored · Phoenix over 115.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Phoenix over 113.5 points scored · Phoenix over 113.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 228 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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