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Pro Basketball Western Conference Champion on Kalshi
If Utah wins the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portland win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Portland | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 486,255 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Golden State win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Golden State | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 429,441 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Houston win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Houston | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 423,492 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Minnesota | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 417,960 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Dallas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 362,271 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles L win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Los Angeles L | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 235,837 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Memphis win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Memphis | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 185,356 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will San Antonio win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · San Antonio | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 149,405 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma City win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Oklahoma City | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 81,725 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Denver win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Denver | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 77,752 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Utah win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Utah | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 69,858 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Phoenix win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Phoenix | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 38,269 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sacramento win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Sacramento | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 25,313 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · Los Angeles C | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,863 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans win the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals in the 2026-27 season? · New Orleans | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,733 | Jun 29, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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