What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

American Athletic Conference Champion on Kalshi

If UTSA wins the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: The Wall Street Journal, ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Tulsa win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · Tulsa	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	58,470	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Florida Atlantic win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · Florida Atlantic	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	54,725	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will UTSA win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · UTSA	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	41%	52,850	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Memphis win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · Memphis	30¢	30%	1.5¢	—	60%	45,200	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will UAB win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · UAB	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	40,354	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will South Florida win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · South Florida	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	34,732	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Army win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · Army	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	23,128	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will North Texas win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · North Texas	42¢	42%	1.7¢	—	83%	22,606	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Temple win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · Temple	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	17,106	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Navy win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · Navy	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	12,368	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Rice win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · Rice	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10,269	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will East Carolina win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · East Carolina	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	10,181	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tulane win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · Tulane	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	7,772	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Charlotte win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship? · Charlotte	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,329	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.