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College Football ACC Stats Leaders on Kalshi
If Davis Warren records the most passing yards in the Atlantic Coast Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 148 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Mensah records the most passing yards in the ACC · Darian Mensah | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 931 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Mason Heintschel records the most passing yards in the ACC · Mason Heintschel | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 763 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Nate Sheppard records the most rushing yards in the ACC · Nate Sheppard | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 743 | Jan 07, 12:00 UTC |
| Kevin Jennings records the most passing yards in the ACC · Kevin Jennings | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 307 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Malachi Toney records the most receiving yards in the ACC · Malachi Toney | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 163 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Mason Heintschel records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Mason Heintschel | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 131 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Gio Lopez records the most passing yards in the ACC · Gio Lopez | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 101 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Lawayne McCoy records the most receiving yards in the ACC · Lawayne McCoy | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 56 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Alberto Mendoza records the most passing yards in the ACC · Alberto Mendoza | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 47 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Dorian Thomas records the most receiving yards in the ACC · Dorian Thomas | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 18 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Gio Lopez records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Gio Lopez | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 17 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Cooper Barkate records the most receiving yards in the ACC · Cooper Barkate | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 13 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Duce Robinson records the most receiving yards in the ACC · Duce Robinson | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 13 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Justice Haynes records the most rushing yards in the ACC · Justice Haynes | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 13 | Jan 07, 12:00 UTC |
| Ethan Grunkemeyer records the most passing yards in the ACC · Ethan Grunkemeyer | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 7 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Ian Strong records the most receiving yards in the ACC · Ian Strong | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 6 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Christopher Vizzina records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Christopher Vizzina | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 4 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Ethan Grunkemeyer records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Ethan Grunkemeyer | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 2 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele records the most passing yards in the ACC · Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 2 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Darian Mensah records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Darian Mensah | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 1 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Ayden Greene records the most receiving yards in the ACC · Ayden Greene | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Davis Warren records the most passing yards in the ACC · Davis Warren | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Lincoln Kienholz records the most passing yards in the ACC · Lincoln Kienholz | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Umari Hatcher records the most receiving yards in the ACC · Umari Hatcher | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Lincoln Kienholz records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Lincoln Kienholz | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Eli Holstein records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Eli Holstein | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Beau Pribula records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Beau Pribula | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Billy Edwards Jr. records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Billy Edwards Jr. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Steve Angeli records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Steve Angeli | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Amari Odom records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Amari Odom | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Dylan Rizk records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Dylan Rizk | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Kevin Jennings records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Kevin Jennings | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| CJ Bailey records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · CJ Bailey | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Davin Wydner records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Davin Wydner | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Alberto Mendoza records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Alberto Mendoza | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Dean DeNobile records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Dean DeNobile | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Ashton Daniels records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Ashton Daniels | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Walker Eget records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Walker Eget | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jackson Brousseau records the most passing touchdowns in the ACC · Jackson Brousseau | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 148 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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