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Big 12 Champion on Kalshi
If West Virginia wins the 2026 College Football Big 12 Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: The Wall Street Journal, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma St. win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Oklahoma St. | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 496,145 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Utah win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Utah | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 431,642 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Texas Tech win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Texas Tech | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 368,279 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona St. win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Arizona St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 333,784 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Houston | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 312,616 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Arizona | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 284,278 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BYU win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · BYU | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 278,566 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baylor win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Baylor | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 271,606 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colorado win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Colorado | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 244,889 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will West Virginia win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · West Virginia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 234,197 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will TCU win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · TCU | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 213,042 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas St. win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Kansas St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 180,626 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Iowa St. win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Iowa St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 124,975 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cincinnati win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Cincinnati | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 113,540 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will UCF win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · UCF | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 112,101 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Kansas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 28,656 | Jan 02, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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