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College Football Big 12 Stats Leaders on Kalshi
If Aiden Flora records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 148 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Freeman records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Gavin Freeman | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1,027 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| LJ Martin records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 · LJ Martin | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 189 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Julian Lewis records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 · Julian Lewis | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 144 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Justin Bowick records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Justin Bowick | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 125 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Wayshawn Parker records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 · Wayshawn Parker | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 113 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hammond records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 · Will Hammond | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 86 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Drew Mestemaker records the most passing yards in the Big 12 · Drew Mestemaker | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 73 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Avery Johnson records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 · Avery Johnson | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 57 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Avery Johnson records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 · Avery Johnson | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 48 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jordan Dwyer records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Jordan Dwyer | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 47 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Bear Bachmeier records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 · Bear Bachmeier | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 31 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Noah Fifita records the most passing yards in the Big 12 · Noah Fifita | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 27 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Cam Cook records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 · Cam Cook | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 20 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Noah Fifita records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 · Noah Fifita | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 17 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Conner Weigman records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 · Conner Weigman | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 10 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Coy Eakin records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Coy Eakin | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 9 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Drew Mestemaker records the most passing touchdowns in the Big 12 · Drew Mestemaker | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 8 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Micah Welch records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 · Micah Welch | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 8 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Amare Thomas records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Amare Thomas | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 5 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Cole Tabb records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 · Cole Tabb | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 3 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| DJ Lagway records the most passing yards in the Big 12 · DJ Lagway | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 2 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Rodney Fields Jr. records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 · Rodney Fields Jr. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 1 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jeremy Payne records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 · Jeremy Payne | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 1 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Joe Jackson records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 · Joe Jackson | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 1 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Caleb Hawkins records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 · Caleb Hawkins | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 1 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jett Carpenter records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Jett Carpenter | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Aiden Flora records the most rushing yards in the Big 12 · Aiden Flora | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| John Neider records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · John Neider | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| DJ Epps records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · DJ Epps | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Larry Simmons records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Larry Simmons | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Kyri Shoels records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Kyri Shoels | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Braden Pegan records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Braden Pegan | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Josh Derry records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Josh Derry | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jonathan Bibbs records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Jonathan Bibbs | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Dylan Wade records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Dylan Wade | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Terrance Carter Jr. records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Terrance Carter Jr. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Malcolm Simmons records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Malcolm Simmons | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Micah Hudson records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Micah Hudson | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Kenny Johnson records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Kenny Johnson | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jalen Jones records the most receiving yards in the Big 12 · Jalen Jones | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 148 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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