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College Football Coach of the Year on Kalshi
If JaMarcus Shephard wins the Bear Bryant Coach of the Year award in 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 33 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Bob Chesney | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 33,609 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Curt Cignetti | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 19,337 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Mario Cristobal | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 18,285 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Jon Sumrall | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 16,186 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Marcus Freeman | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 14,552 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Will Stein | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 14,200 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Kirby Smart | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 12,846 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Kalani Sitake | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 12,467 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Brent Venables | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,504 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Kalen DeBoer | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,744 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Ryan Day | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 9,707 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Matt Campbell | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,391 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Dan Lanning | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 9,384 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Morgan Scalley | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 9,298 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Pete Golding | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,264 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Steve Sarkisian | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,849 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Eric Morris | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 8,741 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Lane Kiffin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,658 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Joey McGuire | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,830 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Josh Heupel | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,311 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Lincoln Riley | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,553 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · James Franklin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,465 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Kyle Whittingham | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,126 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Mike Elko | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,884 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Matt Rhule | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,682 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · JaMarcus Shephard | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,048 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Tony Elliott | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,938 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Bill Belichick | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,775 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Tie/Co-Winners | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,269 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Jim Mora | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 917 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Deion Sanders | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 814 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Clark Lea | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 158 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? · Jerry Mack | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 51 | Jan 29, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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