What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 37¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.21.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 39% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 37%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

College Football First Team to Score a Touchdown on Kalshi

If Texas Tech scores the first touchdown in the Texas Tech vs Oklahoma St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.

Market says (typical open contract)

37%

Median YES price across 102 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

74% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
37¢ (now)	1.6¢	$2.21	38.6%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
No team scores a TD · No team	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	677	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
Georgia scores first TD · Georgia	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	68%	1	Nov 16, 20:30 UTC
Miami (FL) scores first TD · Miami (FL)	61¢	61%	1.7¢	—	78%	0	Nov 16, 17:00 UTC
Texas Tech scores first TD · Texas Tech	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Nov 17, 02:30 UTC
Oklahoma St. scores first TD · Oklahoma St.	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	97%	0	Nov 17, 02:30 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Nov 17, 02:30 UTC
South Carolina scores first TD · South Carolina	61¢	61%	1.7¢	—	78%	0	Nov 17, 00:45 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 00:45 UTC
Arkansas scores first TD · Arkansas	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	71%	0	Nov 17, 00:45 UTC
Virginia Tech scores first TD · Virginia Tech	67¢	67%	1.5¢	—	66%	0	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
Stanford scores first TD · Stanford	27¢	27%	1.4¢	—	54%	0	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
Purdue scores first TD · Purdue	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	43%	0	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
Iowa scores first TD · Iowa	69¢	69%	1.5¢	—	62%	0	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
Texas scores first TD · Texas	42¢	42%	1.7¢	—	83%	0	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
LSU scores first TD · LSU	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	96%	0	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
Utah scores first TD · Utah	54¢	54%	1.7¢	—	91%	0	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
Arizona scores first TD · Arizona	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	88%	0	Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
Penn St. scores first TD · Penn St.	61¢	61%	1.7¢	—	78%	0	Nov 17, 00:00 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 00:00 UTC
Minnesota scores first TD · Minnesota	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 17, 00:00 UTC
North Carolina scores first TD · North Carolina	43¢	43%	1.7¢	—	86%	0	Nov 17, 00:00 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 00:00 UTC
Louisville scores first TD · Louisville	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	89%	0	Nov 17, 00:00 UTC
Kentucky scores first TD · Kentucky	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Nov 16, 23:15 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 16, 23:15 UTC
Florida scores first TD · Florida	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	89%	0	Nov 16, 23:15 UTC
West Virginia scores first TD · West Virginia	54¢	54%	1.7¢	—	92%	0	Nov 16, 22:30 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 16, 22:30 UTC
Kansas scores first TD · Kansas	45¢	45%	1.7¢	—	90%	0	Nov 16, 22:30 UTC
Washington scores first TD · Washington	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	89%	0	Nov 16, 21:15 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 16, 21:15 UTC
Michigan St. scores first TD · Michigan St.	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	81%	0	Nov 16, 21:15 UTC
Oklahoma scores first TD · Oklahoma	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	89%	0	Nov 16, 21:15 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 16, 21:15 UTC
Ole Miss scores first TD · Ole Miss	53¢	53%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Nov 16, 21:15 UTC
USC scores first TD · USC	39¢	39%	1.7¢	—	78%	0	Nov 16, 20:30 UTC
No team scores a TD · No team	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 16, 20:30 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 102 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.