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College Football Next Coach on Kalshi
If the next permanent head coach of the Baylor college football team is Will Stein, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: The Washington Post, Fox Sports, NBC, Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, MSNBC, ABC, Bloomberg News, ESPN, New York Times, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, Fox News, CNN, CBS.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 135 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
97% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Football Next Head Coach: Jimbo Fisher · Jimbo Fisher | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 7,192 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Maryland Football Next Head Coach: P.J. Fleck · P.J. Fleck | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,906 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Maryland Football Next Head Coach: Dan Mullen · Dan Mullen | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,233 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Maryland Football Next Head Coach: Charles Huff · Charles Huff | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 1,971 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Maryland Football Next Head Coach: Brian Kelly · Brian Kelly | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 1,721 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Maryland Football Next Head Coach: Jason Eck · Jason Eck | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 1,589 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Florida State Football Next Head Coach: Deion Sanders · Deion Sanders | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,136 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Florida State Football Next Head Coach: Jake Dickert · Jake Dickert | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 938 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Maryland Football Next Head Coach: Jake Dickert · Jake Dickert | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 777 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Florida State Football Next Head Coach: Glenn Schumann · Glenn Schumann | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 712 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Florida State Football Next Head Coach: Manny Diaz · Manny Diaz | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 621 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Maryland Football Next Head Coach: Mike Shanahan (Indiana) · Mike Shanahan (Indiana) | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 424 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Maryland Football Next Head Coach: Brian Hartline · Brian Hartline | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 150 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Maryland Football Next Head Coach: Jon Gruden · Jon Gruden | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 95 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Florida State Football Next Head Coach: Kenny Dillingham · Kenny Dillingham | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 90 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Maryland Football Next Head Coach: Aazaar Abdul-Rahim · Aazaar Abdul-Rahim | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 26 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Florida State Football Next Head Coach: Charles Huff · Charles Huff | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 19 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Florida State Football Next Head Coach: Rhett Lashlee · Rhett Lashlee | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 19 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| NC State Football Next Head Coach: Philip Rivers · Philip Rivers | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 16 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Will Stein · Will Stein | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Willie Fritz · Willie Fritz | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Tom Herman · Tom Herman | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Slade Nagle · Slade Nagle | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Sonny Dykes · Sonny Dykes | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Shannon Dawson · Shannon Dawson | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Spencer Danielson · Spencer Danielson | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Rhett Lashlee · Rhett Lashlee | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Robert Griffin III · Robert Griffin III | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Neal Brown · Neal Brown | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Matt Rhule · Matt Rhule | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Mike Gundy · Mike Gundy | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Lance Taylor · Lance Taylor | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Lincoln Riley · Lincoln Riley | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Jeff Traylor · Jeff Traylor | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Jon Sumrall · Jon Sumrall | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Jake Spavital · Jake Spavital | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Joey McGuire · Joey McGuire | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Josh McCown · Josh McCown | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Jeff Lebby · Jeff Lebby | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Baylor Football Next Head Coach: Joe Klanderman · Joe Klanderman | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 03:59 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 135 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.