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Pac-12 Champion on Kalshi
If Washington St. wins the 2026 College Football Pac-12 Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: The Wall Street Journal, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Texas St. win the College Football Pac-12 Championship? · Texas St. | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 200,368 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oregon St. win the College Football Pac-12 Championship? · Oregon St. | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 199,714 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fresno St. win the College Football Pac-12 Championship? · Fresno St. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 137,352 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colorado St. win the College Football Pac-12 Championship? · Colorado St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 130,961 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Diego St. win the College Football Pac-12 Championship? · San Diego St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 113,973 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Boise St. win the College Football Pac-12 Championship? · Boise St. | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 109,888 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Utah St. win the College Football Pac-12 Championship? · Utah St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 94,806 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington St. win the College Football Pac-12 Championship? · Washington St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 84,369 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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