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College Football Team Total Points on Kalshi
If Kent St. scores over 41.5 points in the Kent St. vs Bowling Green college football game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 1572 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
97% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 52¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.68 | 53.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) over 23.5 points scored · Miami (OH) over 23.5 points | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 983 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Western Michigan over 30.5 points scored · Western Michigan over 30.5 points | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 779 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Louisiana-Monroe over 30.5 points scored · Louisiana-Monroe over 30.5 points | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 663 | Nov 15, 02:00 UTC |
| Louisiana-Monroe over 16.5 points scored · Louisiana-Monroe over 16.5 points | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 618 | Nov 15, 02:00 UTC |
| Miami (OH) over 19.5 points scored · Miami (OH) over 19.5 points | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 338 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma St. over 45.5 points scored · Oklahoma St. over 45.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 326 | Nov 17, 02:30 UTC |
| Oregon St. over 37.5 points scored · Oregon St. over 37.5 points | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 249 | Nov 16, 23:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma St. over 38.5 points scored · Oklahoma St. over 38.5 points | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 236 | Nov 17, 02:30 UTC |
| Oklahoma St. over 41.5 points scored · Oklahoma St. over 41.5 points | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 229 | Nov 17, 02:30 UTC |
| Oregon St. over 27.5 points scored · Oregon St. over 27.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 202 | Nov 16, 23:00 UTC |
| Oregon St. over 34.5 points scored · Oregon St. over 34.5 points | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 182 | Nov 16, 23:00 UTC |
| Western Michigan over 27.5 points scored · Western Michigan over 27.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 173 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Texas Tech over 34.5 points scored · Texas Tech over 34.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 169 | Nov 17, 02:30 UTC |
| Ohio over 30.5 points scored · Ohio over 30.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 163 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| USC over 23.5 points scored · USC over 23.5 points | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 114 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| Tulsa over 41.5 points scored · Tulsa over 41.5 points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 109 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| USC over 27.5 points scored · USC over 27.5 points | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 107 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| Western Michigan over 13.5 points scored · Western Michigan over 13.5 points | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 100 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| South Florida over 21.5 points scored · South Florida over 21.5 points | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 93 | Nov 15, 01:00 UTC |
| Florida Atlantic over 37.5 points scored · Florida Atlantic over 37.5 points | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 89 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| North Texas over 41.5 points scored · North Texas over 41.5 points | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 83 | Nov 17, 02:00 UTC |
| South Florida over 19.5 points scored · South Florida over 19.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 81 | Nov 15, 01:00 UTC |
| Houston over 23.5 points scored · Houston over 23.5 points | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 74 | Nov 16, 03:15 UTC |
| North Texas over 38.5 points scored · North Texas over 38.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 71 | Nov 17, 02:00 UTC |
| Florida Atlantic over 34.5 points scored · Florida Atlantic over 34.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 71 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| Michigan over 16.5 points scored · Michigan over 16.5 points | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 63 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| Florida Atlantic over 41.5 points scored · Florida Atlantic over 41.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 61 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| North Texas over 48.5 points scored · North Texas over 48.5 points | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 57 | Nov 17, 02:00 UTC |
| Louisiana-Monroe over 27.5 points scored · Louisiana-Monroe over 27.5 points | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 50 | Nov 15, 02:00 UTC |
| Louisiana over 20.5 points scored · Louisiana over 20.5 points | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 41 | Nov 15, 02:00 UTC |
| Louisiana over 16.5 points scored · Louisiana over 16.5 points | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 35 | Nov 15, 02:00 UTC |
| Notre Dame over 19.5 points scored · Notre Dame over 19.5 points | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 26 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| Louisiana over 30.5 points scored · Louisiana over 30.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 25 | Nov 15, 02:00 UTC |
| South Florida over 34.5 points scored · South Florida over 34.5 points | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 22 | Nov 15, 01:00 UTC |
| Boston College over 11.5 points scored · Boston College over 11.5 points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 18 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| Memphis over 19.5 points scored · Memphis over 19.5 points | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 18 | Nov 15, 01:00 UTC |
| Cincinnati over 34.5 points scored · Cincinnati over 34.5 points | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 14 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Western Michigan over 34.5 points scored · Western Michigan over 34.5 points | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 12 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Texas Tech over 27.5 points scored · Texas Tech over 27.5 points | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 12 | Nov 17, 02:30 UTC |
| Baylor over 23.5 points scored · Baylor over 23.5 points | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 11 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 1572 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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