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College Football Win Total on Kalshi
If the Georgia Tech college football team has at least 3 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
51%
Median YES price across 219 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
98% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Carolina win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 222,257 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BYU win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 74,185 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alabama win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 65,246 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nebraska win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 62,188 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Texas win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 61,918 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma St. win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 91¢ | 91% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 58,361 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Florida win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 57,014 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Boise St. win at least 11 games this season? · 11+ wins | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 55,587 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma St. win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 74¢ | 74% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 51,161 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will USC win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 50,482 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Auburn win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 50,052 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ole Miss win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 42,499 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colorado win at least 5 games this season? · 5+ wins | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 40,662 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Missouri win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 40,623 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BYU win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 40,362 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Texas Tech win at least 11 games this season? · 11+ wins | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 38,986 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will LSU win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 36,350 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will South Carolina win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 36,006 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Indiana win at least 11 games this season? · 11+ wins | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 33,135 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Auburn win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 33,098 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alabama win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 29,694 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 29,370 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nebraska win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 27,274 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 26,629 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miami (FL) win at least 11 games this season? · 11+ wins | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 25,896 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arkansas win at least 4 games this season? · 4+ wins | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 25,157 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Iowa win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 24,744 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 23,560 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colorado win at least 6 games this season? · 6+ wins | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 22,285 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Florida St. win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 21,649 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michigan St. win at least 5 games this season? · 5+ wins | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 21,142 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Utah win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 20,928 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota win at least 6 games this season? · 6+ wins | 65¢ | 65% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 20,404 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baylor win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 19,700 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mississippi St. win at least 6 games this season? · 6+ wins | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 19,670 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Georgia win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 19,053 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Texas win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 18,909 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will TCU win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 18,851 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alabama win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 18,839 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ole Miss win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 18,829 | Dec 20, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 219 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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