What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 68¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.10.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 70% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 68%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Men's College Basketball 1st Half Total on Kalshi

If over 87.5 total points are scored in the 1st half of the Kansas vs Kentucky men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.

Market says (typical open contract)

68%

Median YES price across 117 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

63% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
69¢ (now)	1.5¢	$1.09	70.5%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
1st Half: Over 76.5 points scored · Over 76.5 points	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	91%	801	Nov 12, 23:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 73.5 points scored · Over 73.5 points	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	69%	188	Nov 13, 00:15 UTC
1st Half: Over 79.5 points scored · Over 79.5 points	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	87%	107	Nov 12, 23:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 79.5 points scored · Over 79.5 points	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	89%	45	Nov 13, 01:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 83.5 points scored · Over 83.5 points	25¢	25%	1.3¢	—	50%	26	Nov 12, 23:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 76.5 points scored · Over 76.5 points	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	15	Nov 13, 00:15 UTC
1st Half: Over 87.5 points scored · Over 87.5 points	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 83.5 points scored · Over 83.5 points	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	36%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 79.5 points scored · Over 79.5 points	27¢	27%	1.4¢	—	54%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 76.5 points scored · Over 76.5 points	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	88%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 73.5 points scored · Over 73.5 points	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	89%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 71.5 points scored · Over 71.5 points	65¢	65%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 69.5 points scored · Over 69.5 points	71¢	71%	1.4¢	—	58%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 67.5 points scored · Over 67.5 points	78¢	78%	1.2¢	—	44%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 65.5 points scored · Over 65.5 points	86¢	86%	0.8¢	—	28%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 62.5 points scored · Over 62.5 points	88¢	88%	0.8¢	—	25%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 59.5 points scored · Over 59.5 points	90¢	90%	0.6¢	—	20%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 55.5 points scored · Over 55.5 points	91¢	91%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 51.5 points scored · Over 51.5 points	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	0	Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
1st Half: Over 87.5 points scored · Over 87.5 points	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 83.5 points scored · Over 83.5 points	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 79.5 points scored · Over 79.5 points	33¢	33%	1.5¢	—	66%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 76.5 points scored · Over 76.5 points	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	89%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 73.5 points scored · Over 73.5 points	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	89%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 71.5 points scored · Over 71.5 points	64¢	64%	1.6¢	—	72%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 69.5 points scored · Over 69.5 points	73¢	73%	1.4¢	—	54%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 67.5 points scored · Over 67.5 points	79¢	79%	1.2¢	—	42%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 65.5 points scored · Over 65.5 points	84¢	84%	0.9¢	—	32%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 62.5 points scored · Over 62.5 points	87¢	87%	0.8¢	—	26%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 59.5 points scored · Over 59.5 points	90¢	90%	0.7¢	—	21%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 55.5 points scored · Over 55.5 points	91¢	91%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 51.5 points scored · Over 51.5 points	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	0	Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 87.5 points scored · Over 87.5 points	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	32%	0	Nov 13, 01:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 83.5 points scored · Over 83.5 points	30¢	30%	1.5¢	—	61%	0	Nov 13, 01:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 76.5 points scored · Over 76.5 points	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	89%	0	Nov 13, 01:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 73.5 points scored · Over 73.5 points	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	67%	0	Nov 13, 01:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 71.5 points scored · Over 71.5 points	74¢	74%	1.4¢	—	53%	0	Nov 13, 01:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 69.5 points scored · Over 69.5 points	84¢	84%	0.9¢	—	32%	0	Nov 13, 01:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 67.5 points scored · Over 67.5 points	86¢	86%	0.8¢	—	27%	0	Nov 13, 01:00 UTC
1st Half: Over 65.5 points scored · Over 65.5 points	87¢	87%	0.8¢	—	26%	0	Nov 13, 01:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 117 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.