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Men's College Basketball ACC Championship Qualifiers on Kalshi
If the Wake Forest men's college basketball team qualifies for the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament championship game in the 2026-27 men's college basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
13% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Wake Forest | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Virginia Tech to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Virginia Tech | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Virginia to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Virginia | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| North Carolina to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · North Carolina | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Syracuse to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Syracuse | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Stanford to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Stanford | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| SMU to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · SMU | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Pittsburgh to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Pittsburgh | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Notre Dame to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Notre Dame | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| NC St. to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · NC St. | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Miami (FL) to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Miami (FL) | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Louisville to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Louisville | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Georgia Tech to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Georgia Tech | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Florida St. to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Florida St. | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Duke to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Duke | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Clemson to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Clemson | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| California to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · California | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Boston College to qualify for the college basketball men's Atlantic Coast Conference championship game · Boston College | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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