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Men's College Basketball ACC Regular Season Champion on Kalshi
If the Wake Forest men's college basketball team finishes as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Florida St. men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Florida St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,482 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Duke men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Duke | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 1,846 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Virginia men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Virginia | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 638 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the North Carolina men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · North Carolina | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 465 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Louisville men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Louisville | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 211 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Miami (FL) men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Miami (FL) | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 158 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the SMU men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · SMU | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 34 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Clemson men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Clemson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 11 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the NC St. men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · NC St. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 8 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Boston College men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Boston College | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 5 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Virginia Tech men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Virginia Tech | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 4 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Syracuse men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Syracuse | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the California men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · California | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Wake Forest men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Wake Forest | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Stanford men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Stanford | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Pittsburgh men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Pittsburgh | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Notre Dame men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Notre Dame | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Georgia Tech men's college basketball team finish as the Atlantic Coast Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Georgia Tech | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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