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American East Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If the Vermont men's college basketball team is the 2027 America East conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vermont be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · Vermont | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 367 | Mar 29, 18:00 UTC |
| Will Maine be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · Maine | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 10 | Mar 29, 18:00 UTC |
| Will New Hampshire be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · New Hampshire | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Mar 29, 18:00 UTC |
| Will UMBC be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · UMBC | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Mar 29, 18:00 UTC |
| Will NJIT be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · NJIT | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 29, 18:00 UTC |
| Will UMass Lowell be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · UMass Lowell | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Mar 29, 18:00 UTC |
| Will Bryant be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · Bryant | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 29, 18:00 UTC |
| Will Binghamton be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · Binghamton | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Mar 29, 18:00 UTC |
| Will University at Albany be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · University at Albany | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Mar 29, 18:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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