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Big Ten Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If Wisconsin is the 2027 Men's College Basketball Big Ten conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Illinois be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Illinois | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 3,183 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will UCLA be the Big Ten tournament champions? · UCLA | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 1,817 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Nebraska be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Nebraska | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 1,533 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Purdue be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Purdue | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 615 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Michigan St. be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Michigan St. | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 531 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Michigan be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Michigan | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 512 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Oregon be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Oregon | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 264 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Maryland be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Maryland | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 148 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will USC be the Big Ten tournament champions? · USC | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 125 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Wisconsin be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Wisconsin | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 104 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Indiana be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Indiana | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 67 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Penn St. be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Penn St. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 48 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Northwestern be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Northwestern | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 28 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Minnesota | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 17 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Rutgers be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Rutgers | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Washington be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Washington | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Ohio St. be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Ohio St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Iowa be the Big Ten tournament champions? · Iowa | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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