What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 9¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.19.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 10% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 9%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Men's College Basketball Big 12 Championship Qualifiers on Kalshi

If the West Virginia men's college basketball team qualifies for the Big 12 conference tournament championship game in the 2026-27 men's college basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

18% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
9¢ (now)	0.6¢	$3.19	9.6%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Kansas to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Kansas	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	493	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
Arizona St. to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Arizona St.	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	338	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
Arizona to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Arizona	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	56%	40	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
West Virginia to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · West Virginia	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	21%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
Utah to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Utah	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
UCF to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · UCF	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
Texas Tech to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Texas Tech	23¢	23%	1.2¢	—	46%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
TCU to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · TCU	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
Oklahoma St. to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Oklahoma St.	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
Kansas St. to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Kansas St.	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
Iowa St. to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Iowa St.	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	40%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
Houston to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Houston	30¢	30%	1.5¢	—	60%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
Colorado to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Colorado	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
Cincinnati to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Cincinnati	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
BYU to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · BYU	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC
Baylor to qualify for the college basketball men's Big 12 championship game · Baylor	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	0	Mar 22, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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