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Big East Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If Xavier is the 2027 Men's College Basketball Big East conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.33 | 5.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will St. John's be the Big East tournament champions? · St. John's | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 1,280 | Mar 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will UConn be the Big East tournament champions? · UConn | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 975 | Mar 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Providence be the Big East tournament champions? · Providence | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 493 | Mar 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Marquette be the Big East tournament champions? · Marquette | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 356 | Mar 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Xavier be the Big East tournament champions? · Xavier | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 255 | Mar 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Villanova be the Big East tournament champions? · Villanova | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 217 | Mar 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Creighton be the Big East tournament champions? · Creighton | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 165 | Mar 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Seton Hall be the Big East tournament champions? · Seton Hall | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 83 | Mar 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will DePaul be the Big East tournament champions? · DePaul | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 34 | Mar 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Georgetown be the Big East tournament champions? · Georgetown | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 18 | Mar 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Butler be the Big East tournament champions? · Butler | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1 | Mar 28, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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