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Men's College Basketball Big East Championship Qualifiers on Kalshi
If the Xavier men's college basketball team qualifies for the Big East conference tournament championship game in the 2026-27 men's college basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
11%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
22% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.12 | 11.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova to qualify for the college basketball men's Big East championship game · Villanova | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 60 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| St. John's to qualify for the college basketball men's Big East championship game · St. John's | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 3 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| UConn to qualify for the college basketball men's Big East championship game · UConn | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 1 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Xavier to qualify for the college basketball men's Big East championship game · Xavier | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Providence to qualify for the college basketball men's Big East championship game · Providence | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Marquette to qualify for the college basketball men's Big East championship game · Marquette | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Seton Hall to qualify for the college basketball men's Big East championship game · Seton Hall | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Georgetown to qualify for the college basketball men's Big East championship game · Georgetown | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| DePaul to qualify for the college basketball men's Big East championship game · DePaul | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Creighton to qualify for the college basketball men's Big East championship game · Creighton | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Butler to qualify for the college basketball men's Big East championship game · Butler | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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