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Big South Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If Winthrop is the 2027 Men's College Basketball Big South conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will High Point be the Big South tournament champions? · High Point | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 852 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Winthrop be the Big South tournament champions? · Winthrop | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 218 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will USC Upstate be the Big South tournament champions? · USC Upstate | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Gardner-Webb be the Big South tournament champions? · Gardner-Webb | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will UNC Asheville be the Big South tournament champions? · UNC Asheville | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Radford be the Big South tournament champions? · Radford | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Presbyterian be the Big South tournament champions? · Presbyterian | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Longwood be the Big South tournament champions? · Longwood | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Charleston Southern be the Big South tournament champions? · Charleston Southern | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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