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Horizon League Conference Tournament on Kalshi

If Youngstown St. is the 2027 Men's College Basketball Horizon League conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
11% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)0.4¢$3.296.4%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Northern Kentucky be the Horizon League tournament champions? · Northern Kentucky5¢5%0.3¢—10%223Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Milwaukee be the Horizon League tournament champions? · Milwaukee6¢6%0.4¢—11%199Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Wright St. be the Horizon League tournament champions? · Wright St.30¢30%1.5¢—59%199Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Northern Illinois be the Horizon League tournament champions? · Northern Illinois6¢6%0.4¢—13%128Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Youngstown St. be the Horizon League tournament champions? · Youngstown St.9¢9%0.6¢—18%108Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Oakland be the Horizon League tournament champions? · Oakland4¢4%0.3¢—8%62Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Robert Morris be the Horizon League tournament champions? · Robert Morris10¢10%0.6¢—19%41Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Green Bay be the Horizon League tournament champions? · Green Bay14¢14%0.8¢—27%11Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Purdue Fort Wayne be the Horizon League tournament champions? · Purdue Fort Wayne2¢2%0.1¢—4%0Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will IU Indy be the Horizon League tournament champions? · IU Indy3¢3%0.2¢—6%0Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Detroit Mercy be the Horizon League tournament champions? · Detroit Mercy2¢2%0.1¢—3%0Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Cleveland St. be the Horizon League tournament champions? · Cleveland St.2¢2%0.1¢—3%0Mar 29, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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