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Men's College Basketball KenPom Ratings on Kalshi
If Vanderbilt is ranked #1 on the 2027 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings on Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: KenPom.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 50 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 23:27 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Vanderbilt · Vanderbilt | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Virginia · Virginia | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Kentucky · Kentucky | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: UCLA · UCLA | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Texas Tech · Texas Tech | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Texas · Texas | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Tennessee · Tennessee | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Nebraska · Nebraska | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Michigan St. · Michigan St. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Missouri · Missouri | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Miami (FL) · Miami (FL) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Louisville · Louisville | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Kansas · Kansas | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Iowa St. · Iowa St. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Illinois · Illinois | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Houston · Houston | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Gonzaga · Gonzaga | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Florida · Florida | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Duke · Duke | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: UConn · UConn | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: BYU · BYU | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Auburn · Auburn | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Arkansas · Arkansas | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Arizona · Arizona | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 15, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Alabama · Alabama | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 14, 16:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Vanderbilt · Vanderbilt | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Virginia · Virginia | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Kentucky · Kentucky | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: UCLA · UCLA | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Texas Tech · Texas Tech | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Texas · Texas | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Tennessee · Tennessee | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Nebraska · Nebraska | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Michigan St. · Michigan St. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Missouri · Missouri | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Miami (FL) · Miami (FL) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Louisville · Louisville | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Kansas · Kansas | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Iowa St. · Iowa St. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
| #1 on KenPom Ratings for Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST: Illinois · Illinois | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Mar 07, 17:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 50 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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