Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Men's College Basketball Next Coach on Kalshi
If the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball is Yasir Rosemond, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 24 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tony Stubblefield be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Tony Stubblefield | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 1,824 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Niko Medved be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Niko Medved | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 558 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Yasir Rosemond be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Yasir Rosemond | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will T.J. Otzelberger be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · T.J. Otzelberger | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tommy Lloyd be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Tommy Lloyd | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sean Miller be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Sean Miller | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Scott Drew be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Scott Drew | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ross Hodge be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Ross Hodge | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will R-Jay Barsh be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · R-Jay Barsh | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Mennenga be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Mike Mennenga | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mark Few be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Mark Few | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mick Cronin be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Mick Cronin | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kyle Smith be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Kyle Smith | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Schertz be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Josh Schertz | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Pasternack be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Joe Pasternack | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jase Coburn be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Jase Coburn | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Grant McCasland be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Grant McCasland | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Eric Musselman be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Eric Musselman | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Eran Ganot be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Eran Ganot | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Victor be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Chris Victor | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Gerlufsen be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Chris Gerlufsen | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Brad Underwood be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Brad Underwood | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Bucky McMillan be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Bucky McMillan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ben McCollum be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Ben McCollum | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.