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Men's College Basketball Overtime on Kalshi

If at least 1 overtime period is played in the USC vs California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.

Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)0.4¢$3.296.4%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Game goes to overtime · Game goes to overtime6¢6%0.4¢—12%304Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
Game goes to overtime · Game goes to overtime6¢6%0.4¢—11%60Nov 12, 23:00 UTC
Game goes to overtime · Game goes to overtime2¢2%0.1¢—3%18Nov 13, 00:00 UTC
Game goes to overtime · Game goes to overtime4¢4%0.2¢—7%7Nov 13, 00:15 UTC
Game goes to overtime · Game goes to overtime4¢4%0.2¢—7%7Nov 13, 00:00 UTC
Game goes to overtime · Game goes to overtime52¢52%1.7¢—96%0Nov 14, 04:00 UTC
Game goes to overtime · Game goes to overtime52¢52%1.7¢—96%0Nov 14, 00:00 UTC
Game goes to overtime · Game goes to overtime7¢7%0.5¢—14%0Nov 13, 02:00 UTC
Game goes to overtime · Game goes to overtime7¢7%0.5¢—14%0Nov 13, 01:00 UTC
Game goes to overtime · Game goes to overtime7¢7%0.5¢—14%0Nov 13, 00:00 UTC
Game goes to overtime · Game goes to overtime6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Nov 13, 00:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.