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Ohio Valley Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If Western Illinois is the 2027 Men's College Basketball Ohio Valley Conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
17% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.22 | 8.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tennessee-Martin be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions? · Tennessee-Martin | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 665 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee St. be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions? · Tennessee St. | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 586 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Southeast Missouri St. be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions? · Southeast Missouri St. | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 44 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Western Illinois be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions? · Western Illinois | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Southern Indiana be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions? · Southern Indiana | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will SIU Edwardsville be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions? · SIU Edwardsville | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Morehead St. be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions? · Morehead St. | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Lindenwood be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions? · Lindenwood | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Eastern Illinois be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions? · Eastern Illinois | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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