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Men's College Basketball Total Points on Kalshi
If over 183.5 total points are scored in the Creighton vs Kansas St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 856 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full Game: Over 148.5 points scored · Over 148.5 points | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 7,780 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 165.5 points scored · Over 165.5 points | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 5,249 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 148.5 points scored · Over 148.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 4,044 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 142.5 points scored · Over 142.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 2,822 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 149.5 points scored · Over 149.5 points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 2,716 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 146.5 points scored · Over 146.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 2,278 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 147.5 points scored · Over 147.5 points | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 2,120 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 154.5 points scored · Over 154.5 points | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 1,999 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 142.5 points scored · Over 142.5 points | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 1,930 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 134.5 points scored · Over 134.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 1,647 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 164.5 points scored · Over 164.5 points | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1,609 | Nov 12, 23:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 161.5 points scored · Over 161.5 points | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 1,555 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 143.5 points scored · Over 143.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 1,301 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 166.5 points scored · Over 166.5 points | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1,283 | Nov 12, 23:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 156.5 points scored · Over 156.5 points | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1,184 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 157.5 points scored · Over 157.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 919 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 162.5 points scored · Over 162.5 points | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 904 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 168.5 points scored · Over 168.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 783 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 160.5 points scored · Over 160.5 points | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 750 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 162.5 points scored · Over 162.5 points | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 634 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 145.5 points scored · Over 145.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 620 | Nov 12, 23:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 157.5 points scored · Over 157.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 576 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 155.5 points scored · Over 155.5 points | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 565 | Nov 13, 02:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 167.5 points scored · Over 167.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 545 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 141.5 points scored · Over 141.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 441 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 155.5 points scored · Over 155.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 439 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 141.5 points scored · Over 141.5 points | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 407 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 152.5 points scored · Over 152.5 points | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 332 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 148.5 points scored · Over 148.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 327 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 156.5 points scored · Over 156.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 309 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 137.5 points scored · Over 137.5 points | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 305 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 151.5 points scored · Over 151.5 points | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 303 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 169.5 points scored · Over 169.5 points | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 300 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 155.5 points scored · Over 155.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 296 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 167.5 points scored · Over 167.5 points | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 238 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 156.5 points scored · Over 156.5 points | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 236 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 158.5 points scored · Over 158.5 points | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 232 | Nov 13, 00:15 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 148.5 points scored · Over 148.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 216 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 145.5 points scored · Over 145.5 points | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 213 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 138.5 points scored · Over 138.5 points | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 200 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 856 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.