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United Athletic Conference Conference Tournament on Kalshi

If the West Georgia men's college basketball team is the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)0.4¢$3.296.4%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will North Alabama be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · North Alabama5¢5%0.3¢—10%141Apr 04, 21:00 UTC
Will Central Arkansas be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Central Arkansas24¢24%1.3¢—49%101Apr 04, 21:00 UTC
Will Little Rock be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Little Rock6¢6%0.4¢—12%63Apr 04, 21:00 UTC
Will Eastern Kentucky be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Eastern Kentucky3¢3%0.2¢—6%4Apr 04, 21:00 UTC
Will West Georgia be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · West Georgia4¢4%0.3¢—8%0Apr 04, 21:00 UTC
Will UT Arlington be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · UT Arlington15¢15%0.9¢—30%0Apr 04, 21:00 UTC
Will Tarleton St. be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Tarleton St.17¢17%1.0¢—34%0Apr 04, 21:00 UTC
Will Austin Peay be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Austin Peay20¢20%1.1¢—39%0Apr 04, 21:00 UTC
Will Abilene Christian be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Abilene Christian6¢6%0.4¢—11%0Apr 04, 21:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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