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Men's College Basketball Teams to go Undefeated at Home on Kalshi
If the Virginia Tech men's college basketball team goes undefeated in home games (excluding neutral site games) in the 2026-27 DI men's college basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 40 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Duke | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 604 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Gonzaga to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Gonzaga | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 262 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Nebraska to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Nebraska | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 175 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Arkansas to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Arkansas | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 167 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Auburn to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Auburn | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 141 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| BYU to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · BYU | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 45 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| UCLA to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · UCLA | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 38 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Kansas to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Kansas | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 38 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Tennessee to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Tennessee | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 31 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Michigan to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Michigan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 29 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Florida to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Florida | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 11 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Illinois to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Illinois | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 4 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Texas Tech to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Texas Tech | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 2 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Virginia Tech to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Virginia Tech | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Villanova to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Villanova | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| VCU to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · VCU | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Vanderbilt to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Vanderbilt | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Virginia to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Virginia | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| USC to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · USC | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| North Carolina to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · North Carolina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Kentucky to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Kentucky | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Texas A&M to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Texas A&M | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Texas to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Texas | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| TCU to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · TCU | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Saint Louis to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Saint Louis | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| St. John's to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · St. John's | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Purdue to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Purdue | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Ohio St. to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Ohio St. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Michigan St. to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Michigan St. | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Missouri to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Missouri | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Miami (FL) to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Miami (FL) | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Marquette to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Marquette | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Louisville to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Louisville | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Iowa St. to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Iowa St. | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Iowa to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Iowa | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Indiana to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Indiana | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Houston to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Houston | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| UConn to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · UConn | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Arizona to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Arizona | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Alabama to go undefeated at home in the 2026-27 men's college basketball regular season · Alabama | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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