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Women's College Basketball Big 12 Conference Tournament Champion on Kalshi
If the West Virginia women's college basketball team is the Big 12 conference tournament champion in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma St. women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Oklahoma St. | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 22 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Arizona women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Arizona | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 8 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Arizona St. women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Arizona St. | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 6 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| West Virginia women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · West Virginia | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Utah women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Utah | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| UCF women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · UCF | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Texas Tech women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Texas Tech | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| TCU women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · TCU | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Kansas women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Kansas | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Kansas St. women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Kansas St. | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Iowa St. women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Iowa St. | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Houston women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Houston | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Colorado women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Colorado | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Cincinnati women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Cincinnati | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| BYU women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · BYU | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
| Baylor women's college basketball team to win the 2027 Big 12 conference tournament · Baylor | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Mar 29, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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