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Women's College Basketball AP Poll Top Rank on Kalshi
If West Virginia is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: AP Women's College Basketball Rankings.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 1700 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 7, 2026)? · Arizona | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 249 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alabama be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 7, 2026)? · Alabama | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 248 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Abilene Christian be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 7, 2026)? · Abilene Christian | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 248 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arkansas be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 7, 2026)? · Arkansas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 235 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michigan St. be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 7, 2026)? · Michigan St. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 235 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alabama be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 5 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 30, 2026)? · Alabama | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 136 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Abilene Christian be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 5 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 30, 2026)? · Abilene Christian | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 100 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona St. be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 7, 2026)? · Arizona St. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 10 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Saint Joseph's be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 8 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 21, 2026)? · Saint Joseph's | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will UNLV be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 3 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 16, 2026)? · UNLV | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Northwestern be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 4 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 23, 2026)? · Northwestern | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1 | Dec 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Creighton be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 15 Rankings (expected to be released on Feb 8, 2027)? · Creighton | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 14 Rankings (expected to be released on Feb 1, 2027)? · Washington | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michigan St. be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 13 Rankings (expected to be released on Jan 25, 2027)? · Michigan St. | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Auburn be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 13 Rankings (expected to be released on Jan 25, 2027)? · Auburn | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona St. be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 13 Rankings (expected to be released on Jan 25, 2027)? · Arizona St. | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 10 Rankings (expected to be released on Jan 4, 2027)? · Minnesota | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will West Virginia be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · West Virginia | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Wisconsin be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Wisconsin | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Washington be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Washington | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Virginia Tech be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Virginia Tech | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Villanova be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Villanova | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Vanderbilt be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Vanderbilt | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Virginia be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Virginia | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Utah be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Utah | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will South Florida be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · South Florida | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will USC be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · USC | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New Mexico be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · New Mexico | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will UNLV be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · UNLV | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will North Carolina be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · North Carolina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kentucky be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Kentucky | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Georgia be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Georgia | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will UCLA be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · UCLA | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Texas A&M be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Texas A&M | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Texas Tech be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Texas Tech | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tulsa be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Tulsa | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Texas be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Texas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Tennessee | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will TCU be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · TCU | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Syracuse be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Final Rankings (expected to be released on Apr 5, 2027)? · Syracuse | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 19, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 1700 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.