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Women's College Basketball Total Points on Kalshi
If over 159.5 total points are scored in the Cleveland St. vs Drake women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 405 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full Game: Over 139.5 points scored · Over 139.5 points | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 53,714 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 149.5 points scored · Over 149.5 points | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 31,188 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 135.5 points scored · Over 135.5 points | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 31,015 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 144.5 points scored · Over 144.5 points | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 22,785 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 132.5 points scored · Over 132.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 12,979 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 129.5 points scored · Over 129.5 points | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 10,889 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 125.5 points scored · Over 125.5 points | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 9,655 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 135.5 points scored · Over 135.5 points | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 9,147 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 120.5 points scored · Over 120.5 points | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 7,678 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 105.5 points scored · Over 105.5 points | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 5,494 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 110.5 points scored · Over 110.5 points | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 4,746 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 115.5 points scored · Over 115.5 points | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 4,116 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 125.5 points scored · Over 125.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,016 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 132.5 points scored · Over 132.5 points | 85¢ | 85% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 3,951 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 139.5 points scored · Over 139.5 points | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 2,818 | Nov 12, 23:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 154.5 points scored · Over 154.5 points | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 2,818 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 159.5 points scored · Over 159.5 points | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 2,079 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 139.5 points scored · Over 139.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 2,028 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 110.5 points scored · Over 110.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,839 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 100.5 points scored · Over 100.5 points | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 1,762 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 125.5 points scored · Over 125.5 points | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 1,710 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 144.5 points scored · Over 144.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1,537 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 139.5 points scored · Over 139.5 points | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 1,442 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 115.5 points scored · Over 115.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,392 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 144.5 points scored · Over 144.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 1,194 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 120.5 points scored · Over 120.5 points | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1,026 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 120.5 points scored · Over 120.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 943 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 132.5 points scored · Over 132.5 points | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 875 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 129.5 points scored · Over 129.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 695 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 135.5 points scored · Over 135.5 points | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 585 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 125.5 points scored · Over 125.5 points | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 535 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 132.5 points scored · Over 132.5 points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 251 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 137.5 points scored · Over 137.5 points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 239 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 120.5 points scored · Over 120.5 points | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 238 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 139.5 points scored · Over 139.5 points | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 172 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 144.5 points scored · Over 144.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 166 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 149.5 points scored · Over 149.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 162 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 120.5 points scored · Over 120.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 152 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 148.5 points scored · Over 148.5 points | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 121 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 129.5 points scored · Over 129.5 points | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 111 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 405 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.