What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.75.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 52% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Undefeated in Women's College Basketball Regular Season on Kalshi

If Villanova goes undefeated in the 2026-27 women's college basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fox Sports, ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

100% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢ (now)	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will South Carolina go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · South Carolina	29¢	29%	1.4¢	—	58%	753	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will UConn go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · UConn	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	19%	660	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will USC go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · USC	19¢	19%	1.1¢	—	38%	351	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will UCLA go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · UCLA	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	93	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Villanova go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Villanova	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will North Carolina go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · North Carolina	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Kentucky go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Kentucky	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Texas Tech go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Texas Tech	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Texas go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Texas	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Tennessee go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Tennessee	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will TCU go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · TCU	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Stanford go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Stanford	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Oregon go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Oregon	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Oklahoma go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Oklahoma	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Nebraska go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Nebraska	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Notre Dame go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Notre Dame	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will North Carolina St. go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · North Carolina St.	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Michigan St. go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Michigan St.	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Ole Miss go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Ole Miss	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Minnesota go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Minnesota	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Michigan go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Michigan	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Maryland go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Maryland	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will LSU go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · LSU	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Louisville go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Louisville	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Iowa St. go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Iowa St.	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Iowa go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Iowa	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Grand Canyon go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Grand Canyon	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Duke go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Duke	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Baylor go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Baylor	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC
Will Alabama go undefeated in the women's college basketball regular season? · Alabama	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Mar 29, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.