What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 7¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.25.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 7% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 7%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Goldman Sachs new CEO on Kalshi

If Marc Nachmann is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as COO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: The Washington Post, ESPN, NBC, TechCrunch, The Information, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Wired, Semafor, the Associated Press, The Athletic, company/organization, CNN, Fox News, Reuters, Axios,  The New York Times, Politico, ABC, CBS, Bloomberg News.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

14% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
7¢ (now)	0.5¢	$3.25	7.5%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? · John Waldron	82¢	82%	1.1¢	—	37%	2,673	Dec 31, 22:00 UTC
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? · Marc Nachmann	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	219	Dec 31, 22:00 UTC
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? · Kim Posnett	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	176	Dec 31, 22:00 UTC
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? · Matt McClure	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	104	Dec 31, 22:00 UTC
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? · Dan Dees	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	102	Dec 31, 22:00 UTC
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? · Ashok Varadhan	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	93	Dec 31, 22:00 UTC
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? · Dan Dees	10¢	10%	0.7¢	—	21%	6	Dec 31, 22:00 UTC
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? · Marc Nachmann	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	20%	0	Dec 31, 22:00 UTC
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? · Matt McClure	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	20%	0	Dec 31, 22:00 UTC
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? · Kim Posnett	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	0	Dec 31, 22:00 UTC
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? · Ashok Varadhan	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	22%	0	Dec 31, 22:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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