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Next permanent White House Press Secretary on Kalshi
If Stephen Miller formally holds the position of White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: White House, the New York Times.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 84 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dana White be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Dana White | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,848,333 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Nicki Minaj | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,391,553 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Anna Kelly | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 778,909 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Scott Jennings | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 639,602 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dana W. White be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Dana W. White | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 438,215 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will No new person be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · No new person | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 363,579 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Elizabeth Pipko | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 332,024 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Maria Bartiromo | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 302,439 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Laura Loomer be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Laura Loomer | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 294,906 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Kari Lake | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 282,171 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Danielle Alvarez be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Danielle Alvarez | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 280,286 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ben Ferguson be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Ben Ferguson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 275,118 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Katie Miller | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 248,586 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Steven Cheung | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 238,682 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Alina Habba | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 185,686 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Tricia McLaughlin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 147,102 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Karoline Leavitt | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 139,849 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kaylee McGhee White be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Kaylee McGhee White | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 133,590 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Margo Martin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 131,536 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Monica Crowley | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 131,155 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Marco Rubio | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 99,682 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Erika Kirk be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Erika Kirk | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 77,326 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Katie Pavlich | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 73,714 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Taylor Rogers | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 73,017 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jason Miller be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Jason Miller | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 56,469 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Roma Daravi be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Roma Daravi | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 56,056 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Natalie Harp | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 54,631 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Rachel Campos-Duffy | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 53,110 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Spencer Pratt | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 39,429 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Erin Elmore Scavino be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Erin Elmore Scavino | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 36,217 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ben Shapiro be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Ben Shapiro | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 34,228 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Lara Trump | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 31,255 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Beni Rae Harmony | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 30,386 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Benny Johnson be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Benny Johnson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 30,271 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Harrison Fields | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 28,391 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Hogan Gidley | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 27,257 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Kayleigh McEnany | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 27,050 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Ari Fleischer | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 23,853 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Sweeney be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Joe Sweeney | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 22,315 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029? · Lauren Bis | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 20,168 | Jan 27, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 84 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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