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1st Half Fulltime Result on Kalshi

If Washington wins the 1st half and Washington wins the full game in the Washington vs New York G Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
6% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)0.2¢$3.403.2%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
New York G wins 1st Half / Washington wins game · New York G 1H / Washington game11¢11%0.7¢—22%369Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G wins 1st Half / New York G wins game · New York G 1H / New York G game36¢36%1.6¢—72%359Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Tie in 1st Half / New York G wins game · Tie 1H / New York G game3¢3%0.2¢—6%79Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Washington wins 1st Half / Washington wins game · Washington 1H / Washington game30¢30%1.5¢—60%39Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Tie in 1st Half / Game ends in a tie · Tie 1H / Tie game0¢0%0.0¢—1%30Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G wins 1st Half / Game ends in a tie · New York G 1H / Tie game0¢0%0.0¢—1%30Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Washington wins 1st Half / New York G wins game · Washington 1H / New York G game11¢11%0.7¢—22%15Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Tie in 1st Half / Washington wins game · Tie 1H / Washington game2¢2%0.1¢—4%3Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Washington wins 1st Half / Game ends in a tie · Washington 1H / Tie game0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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