Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Pro Football 2nd Quarter Winner on Kalshi
If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the New England vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
40%
Median YES price across 6 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
81% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 41¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $2.07 | 42.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will neither team win the 2nd Quarter? · Tie | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Will New England win the 2nd Quarter? · New England | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Will Detroit win the 2nd Quarter? · Detroit | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Will Washington win the 2nd Quarter? · Washington | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Will neither team win the 2nd Quarter? · Tie | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Will New York G win the 2nd Quarter? · New York G | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.