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AP Pro Football Coach Of The Year on Kalshi
If Tie/Co-Winners wins the Pro Football AP Coach of the Year in the 2026-2027 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 33 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Harbaugh win the Coach of the Year? · John Harbaugh | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 600,920 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyle Shanahan win the Coach of the Year? · Kyle Shanahan | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 521,416 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Todd Monken win the Coach of the Year? · Todd Monken | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 463,268 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ben Johnson win the Coach of the Year? · Ben Johnson | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 442,175 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jesse Minter win the Coach of the Year? · Jesse Minter | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 428,525 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dan Campbell win the Coach of the Year? · Dan Campbell | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 396,439 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aaron Glenn win the Coach of the Year? · Aaron Glenn | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 395,139 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Klint Kubiak win the Coach of the Year? · Klint Kubiak | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 376,908 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kevin Stefanski win the Coach of the Year? · Kevin Stefanski | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 287,011 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Macdonald win the Coach of the Year? · Mike Macdonald | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 261,490 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Andy Reid win the Coach of the Year? · Andy Reid | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 260,761 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sean Payton win the Coach of the Year? · Sean Payton | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 252,588 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Liam Coen win the Coach of the Year? · Liam Coen | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 251,477 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nick Sirianni win the Coach of the Year? · Nick Sirianni | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 232,716 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kellen Moore win the Coach of the Year? · Kellen Moore | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 224,896 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kevin O'Connell win the Coach of the Year? · Kevin O'Connell | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 200,019 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dave Canales win the Coach of the Year? · Dave Canales | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 180,956 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Brady win the Coach of the Year? · Joe Brady | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 177,843 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zac Taylor win the Coach of the Year? · Zac Taylor | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 139,213 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sean McVay win the Coach of the Year? · Sean McVay | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 136,931 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike McCarthy win the Coach of the Year? · Mike McCarthy | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 129,051 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brian Schottenheimer win the Coach of the Year? · Brian Schottenheimer | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 122,440 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will DeMeco Ryans win the Coach of the Year? · DeMeco Ryans | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 118,653 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dan Quinn win the Coach of the Year? · Dan Quinn | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 104,512 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike LaFleur win the Coach of the Year? · Mike LaFleur | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 91,398 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Matt LaFleur win the Coach of the Year? · Matt LaFleur | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 88,413 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Robert Saleh win the Coach of the Year? · Robert Saleh | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 86,496 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jim Harbaugh win the Coach of the Year? · Jim Harbaugh | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 57,693 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeff Hafley win the Coach of the Year? · Jeff Hafley | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 45,008 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Todd Bowles win the Coach of the Year? · Todd Bowles | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 34,511 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Shane Steichen win the Coach of the Year? · Shane Steichen | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 33,964 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Vrabel win the Coach of the Year? · Mike Vrabel | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 29,232 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Coach of the Year? · Tie/Co-Winners | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,639 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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