What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Pro Football Division with the Least Wins on Kalshi

If the teams in the NFC West record the most total wins out of any division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will the teams in the NFC North have the most total wins out of any division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · NFC North	90¢	90%	0.7¢	—	21%	8,051	Feb 01, 04:30 UTC
Will the teams in the NFC West have the most total wins out of any division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · NFC West	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	9%	7,799	Feb 01, 04:30 UTC
Will the teams in the AFC West have the most total wins out of any division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · AFC West	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,921	Feb 01, 04:30 UTC
Will the teams in the NFC East have the most total wins out of any division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · NFC East	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	1,200	Feb 01, 04:30 UTC
Will the teams in the AFC North have the most total wins out of any division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · AFC North	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	509	Feb 01, 04:30 UTC
Will the teams in the NFC South have the most total wins out of any division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · NFC South	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	421	Feb 01, 04:30 UTC
Will the teams in the AFC East have the most total wins out of any division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · AFC East	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	74	Feb 01, 04:30 UTC
Will the teams in the AFC South have the most total wins out of any division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · AFC South	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	0	Feb 01, 04:30 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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