What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.41.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Team to go undefeated in division on Kalshi

If the Washington Pro Football team is undefeated in their division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 33 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

5% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Any team go undefeated in their division? · Any team	62¢	62%	1.6¢	—	75%	3,730	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will San Francisco go undefeated in their division? · San Francisco	30¢	30%	1.5¢	—	60%	3,269	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Minnesota go undefeated in their division? · Minnesota	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	2,592	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Buffalo go undefeated in their division? · Buffalo	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	2,477	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Jacksonville go undefeated in their division? · Jacksonville	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,553	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Las Vegas go undefeated in their division? · Las Vegas	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1,509	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will New York G go undefeated in their division? · New York G	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	29%	1,293	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Los Angeles C go undefeated in their division? · Los Angeles C	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	665	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Dallas go undefeated in their division? · Dallas	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	602	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Tampa Bay go undefeated in their division? · Tampa Bay	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	589	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will New Orleans go undefeated in their division? · New Orleans	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	399	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Kansas City go undefeated in their division? · Kansas City	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	382	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Denver go undefeated in their division? · Denver	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	296	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Houston go undefeated in their division? · Houston	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	257	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will New England go undefeated in their division? · New England	23¢	23%	1.2¢	—	46%	253	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Chicago go undefeated in their division? · Chicago	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	245	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Cleveland go undefeated in their division? · Cleveland	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	226	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Carolina go undefeated in their division? · Carolina	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	213	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Cincinnati go undefeated in their division? · Cincinnati	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	200	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Philadelphia go undefeated in their division? · Philadelphia	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	188	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Green Bay go undefeated in their division? · Green Bay	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	44	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Baltimore go undefeated in their division? · Baltimore	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	26	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Miami go undefeated in their division? · Miami	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	9	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Washington go undefeated in their division? · Washington	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Tennessee go undefeated in their division? · Tennessee	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Seattle go undefeated in their division? · Seattle	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Pittsburgh go undefeated in their division? · Pittsburgh	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will New York J go undefeated in their division? · New York J	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Los Angeles R go undefeated in their division? · Los Angeles R	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Indianapolis go undefeated in their division? · Indianapolis	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Detroit go undefeated in their division? · Detroit	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	12%	0	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Atlanta go undefeated in their division? · Atlanta	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC
Will Arizona go undefeated in their division? · Arizona	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 19, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.