What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

AP Pro Football Defensive Player Of The Year on Kalshi

If Arvell Reese wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Player Of The Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 73 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Fred Warner win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Fred Warner	18¢	18%	1.1¢	—	37%	330,182	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Will Anderson Jr.	34¢	34%	1.6¢	—	69%	301,097	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jeffery Simmons win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Jeffery Simmons	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	279,009	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Aidan Hutchinson win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Aidan Hutchinson	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	267,331	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Dallas Turner win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Dallas Turner	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	265,359	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will T.J. Watt win the Defensive Player of the Year? · T.J. Watt	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	258,023	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Greg Rousseau win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Greg Rousseau	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	248,536	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Myles Garrett win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Myles Garrett	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	232,913	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Kyle Hamilton win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Kyle Hamilton	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	223,568	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Dexter Lawrence II win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Dexter Lawrence II	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	215,260	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Abdul Carter win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Abdul Carter	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	195,960	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Leonard Williams win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Leonard Williams	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	168,161	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Trent McDuffie win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Trent McDuffie	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	167,251	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Arvell Reese win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Arvell Reese	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	166,856	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Chase Young win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Chase Young	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	136,651	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Andrew Van Ginkel win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Andrew Van Ginkel	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	133,064	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Maxx Crosby win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Maxx Crosby	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	112,428	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Nick Bosa win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Nick Bosa	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	105,565	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Travis Hunter win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Travis Hunter	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	105,065	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Nik Bonitto win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Nik Bonitto	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	90,067	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Christian Gonzalez win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Christian Gonzalez	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	82,630	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Nick Emmanwori win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Nick Emmanwori	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	81,094	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Zack Baun win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Zack Baun	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	69,589	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Danielle Hunter win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Danielle Hunter	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	67,191	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Byron Murphy II win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Byron Murphy II	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60,551	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Trey Hendrickson win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Trey Hendrickson	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60,408	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Aaron Donald win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Aaron Donald	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	59,590	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Brian Burns win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Brian Burns	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	51,085	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jalen Carter win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Jalen Carter	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50,996	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Pat Surtain win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Pat Surtain	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	47,172	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jared Verse win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Jared Verse	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	46,206	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Devon Witherspoon win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Devon Witherspoon	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	40,888	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Micah Parsons win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Micah Parsons	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	31,207	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Zach Allen win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Zach Allen	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	31,189	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Devin Lloyd win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Devin Lloyd	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	18,200	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will David Bailey win the Defensive Player of the Year? · David Bailey	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	16,197	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jevon Holland win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Jevon Holland	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	15,153	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Quinyon Mitchell win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Quinyon Mitchell	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	12,630	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Xavier McKinney win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Xavier McKinney	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10,560	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Chris Jones win the Defensive Player of the Year? · Chris Jones	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	7,849	Feb 08, 15:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 73 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.